Forecast Market to Grow to $10 Trillion by 2035

The forecast market could increase its annual volume from $410 billion in 2026 to $10 trillion by 2035, with financial assets, including cryptocurrencies, stocks, and commodities, becoming the main categories. Bernstein analysts expect annual growth rates of 70% from 2025 to 2035. The share of financial assets may rise from 12% in 2025 to 49% by 2035, while the share of sports events will decrease from 61% to 38%. Cryptocurrency and commodity contracts are already gaining popularity, with the share of cryptocurrencies on Kalshi increasing from less than 5% in January to 20% in August. The trading volume of commodities has risen from less than $2 million in 2025 to $590 million since the beginning of 2026. On Polymarket, sports contracts account for 52% of the volume since the start of 2026, while the share of political contracts has decreased from 32% to 22%. The potential market for financial assets is estimated at $700 trillion in 2025 and could reach $900 trillion by 2035, with the projected trading volume around $4.7 trillion.

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